Epidemiology of cardiometabolic and cognitive aging – Ida Karlsson's research group

Our group investigates how long-term genetic, biological, and lifestyle factors shape risk and resilience to age-related diseases, with a particular focus on dementia and cardiometabolic aging.

Our research

Our research focuses on understanding why individuals age differently, with particular emphasis on cardiometabolic health and cognitive aging. One line of work examines heterogeneity in obesity, distinguishing genetically versus environmentally driven adiposity, the role of metabolic health, and age-specific changes. A parallel line studies life course risk factors for dementia and leverages recent advances in blood-based biomarkers to characterize preclinical trajectories and study causal risk factors and resilience. 

The heterogeneity of obesity and cardiometabolic aging

Cardiometabolic risk factors such as obesity, dyslipidemia, and hypertension are strongly linked to morbidity and mortality in later life, yet their consequences vary widely between individuals. Our research examines obesity and cardiometabolic health as heterogeneous and dynamic processes rather than static risk states. We study how genetic predisposition, lifestyle, metabolic profiles, sex, and life stage influence associations between obesity and risk of e.g. cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, dementia, and survival. By integrating longitudinal cohort data with genetically informed designs, we aim to disentangle causal effects from reverse causation and confounding, refine risk assessment beyond BMI, and inform more individualized and less stigmatizing approaches to cardiometabolic prevention in aging populations.

Life‑course pathways to dementia and brain aging

Dementia develops over decades, with a long preclinical phase during which pathological brain changes accumulate silently. Our research investigates how life-course exposures, cardiometabolic factors, and genetic susceptibility shape trajectories toward cognitive decline and dementia, as well as why some individuals remain cognitively resilient despite substantial pathology. We combine longitudinal twin studies, population-based cohorts, and blood-based biomarkers of neurodegeneration and Alzheimer’s disease, together with multi-omics data, to study early disease mechanisms and strengthen causal inference. A major focus is the use of new blood‑based biomarkers to identify biological pathways linking modifiable risk factors to neurodegenerative and vascular processes, and to develop interpretable prediction models that improve early identification and stratification of dementia risk in the general population.

This theme also includes work within the Interplay of Genes and Environment across Multiple Studies (IGEMS) consortium, a collaboration involving over fifteen longitudinal twin studies of adult development and aging. Ongoing projects in IGEMS include work to strengthen or refute causal hypotheses and test gene-environment interplay among modifiable factors for dementia risk and resilience, and how country, cohort, and gender disparities influence the relationship between education and dementia.

SATSA – The Swedish Adoption/Twin Study of Aging

Our work includes The Swedish Adoption/Twin Study of Aging(SATSA); PI Ida Karlsson & Sara Hägg), a unique cohort of twin pairs with almost 30 years of follow-up. The rich data includes a broad spectrum of biological, psychological, and social domains, collected in up to 9 waves of questionnaires and 10 waves of in-person testing. The longitudinal follow-up provides opportunities for detailed examinations of individual differences in age-related health, and the twin design provides possibilities to examine the importance of genetic and environmental influences and a quasi-causal setting to compare disease-discordant twin pairs.

Publications

Selected publications

All publications from group members

Funding

Grants

  • The heterogeneity of obesity subtypes: From body mass index towards precision medicine
    Karolinska Institutet Research Grants
    1 November 2024 - 31 October 2026
  • Overweight as a heterogenous phenotype - Leveraging differences to understand effects on age-related diseases
    The Strategic Research Program in Epidemiology at Karolinska Institutet
    1 November 2023 - 31 December 2023
  • Swedish Research Council for Health Working Life and Welfare
    1 January 2023 - 31 December 2026
    Research problem and specific questions The purpose of this project is to leverage the heterogeneity of overweight to understand how overweight increases the risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and dementia. We will study adiposity in general and specific adiposity-related traits:Metabolically unhealthy vs healthy adiposityEnvironmentally vs genetically driven adiposityAdiposity measured in midlife vs late-lifeThus, we can study differences in how the adiposity-related traits associate with the age-related diseases, and if these differences are explained by mediating factors or by an acceleration of aging. We will study:Overweight in general, to highlight genes and biological pathways shared between adiposity and the age-related diseases, and seek to identify factors driving the associations.How metabolic biomarkers (e.g. cholesterol levels, inflammatory markers) and other potential mediators (e.g. depressive symptoms) differ among the adiposity-related traits, and if these factors influence the associations with the age-related diseases.If cellular or multisystem aging (telomere length, epigenetic clocks, and frailty) differ among the adiposity-related traits, and influence the association with the age-related diseases.Data and methodAim 1 uses genetic designs and public data. Aim 2-3 applies advanced epidemiological designs to large longitudinal data from the Health and Retirement Study (USA
    n=37,494) and twin cohorts in the IGEMS consortium (Australia, Denmark, Sweden, and USA
    n=89-136).Plan for project realizationThe data are already available, and the realization and costs concern analyses to answer the research questions. The project is led by an interdisciplinary team of researchers in Sweden, China, and the USA. We will recruit a PhD student, who will conduct four studies within the project, and budget for partial financing of a present PhD student, whose work falls within the proposed project.RelevancePreliminary analyses indicate important differences among the adiposity-related traits, and by examining these differences the project will advance our understanding of the heterogeneity of overweight, and of what drives the negative health effects of adiposity in general. It thereby has the potential to identify preventive strategies reducing the risk of several of our most common causes of morbidity and mortality, and promote a healthier aging.
  • Overweight as a heterogeneous phenotype: Leveraging differences among adiposity-related traits to understand effects on age-related disease
    Foundation for Geriatric Diseases at Karolinska Institutet
    1 October 2022 - 30 September 2025
  • Overweight as a heterogeneous phenotype - Leveraging differences to understand effects on age-related diseases
    Karolinska Institutet’s Research Foundation
    1 October 2022 - 30 September 2024
  • Overweight as a heterogeneous phenotype: Leveraging differences among adiposity-related traits to understand effects on age-related disease
    Loo and Hans Osterman Foundation for Medical Research
    1 July 2022 - 30 June 2025
  • Overweight as a heterogeneous phenotype: Leveraging differences in adiposity-related traits to understand effects on age-related disease
    The Strategic Research Program in Epidemiology at Karolinska Institutet
    1 November 2021 - 31 December 2023
  • Council for International Exchange of Scholars
    1 August 2019 - 29 February 2020
  • Swedish Research Council for Health Working Life and Welfare
    1 January 2019 - 31 December 2021

Staff and contact

Group leader

All members of the group

Visiting address

Karolinska Institutet, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Nobels väg 12A, Stockholm, 171 77, Sweden

Postal address

Karolinska Institutet, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, PO Box 281, Stockholm, 171 77, Sweden