Modelling and simulation with applications to cancer epidemiology and health economics – Mark Clements' research group

Publications

All publications from group members

• Journal article: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER. 2026

  Controlled Trial of Cervical Cancer Screening Frequency Among Human Papillomavirus Vaccinated WomenII: Cervical Pre-Cancer End-Points by Specific Non-VaccineHPVTypes

  Lehtinen M; Llobet MO; Eriksson T; Baussano I; Elfstrom M; Ghaderi M; Gray P; Harjula K; Heikkila K; Hokkanen M; Kares S; Lagheden C; Nieminen P; Soderlund-Strand A; Dillner J; Pimenoff VN
• Journal article: BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL. 2026;395:e100739

  Quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccination before pregnancy and pregnancy outcomes: nationwide, population based case-control study.

  Zhang Z; Ploner A; Sengpiel V; Kasheshi N; Jacobsson B; Dillner J; Sparén P; Kärrberg C; Lei J
• Journal article: HIV MEDICINE. 2026

  BeyondCD4counts: Multi-biomarker assessment of estimated time sinceHIV-1 infection and risk factors for late diagnosis

  Smith K; Locke M; Andersson E; Broddesson S; Carlander C; Yilmaz A; Albert J; Leitner T; Brannstrom J
• Article: BMJ OPEN. 2026;16(9):e108693

  Comparison of an ensemble machine learning model to a Cox regression model to predict colorectal cancer risk among people with HIV using retrospective nationwide cohort data in Sweden: a study protocol

  Nilsson J; Deng Y; Elvstam O; Killander-Moller I; Lei J; Mansson F; Naucler P; Nygren J; Ruhe-van der Werff S; Wagner P; Yilmaz A; Brannstrom J; Boman M; Carlander C
• Article: AIDS. 2026;40(9):1346-1354

  Temporal trends in viral setpoint and peak CD4⁺ cell count soon after HIV-1 seroconversion

  Pantazis N; Sabin C; Costagliola D; Grabar S; Carlander C; Gill J; van Sighem A; Jarrin I; Meyer L; Ruiz-Burga E; Tariq S; Spire B; Burns F; Touloumi G
• Article: PLOS MEDICINE. 2026;23(9):e1005222

  Human papillomavirus infection and risk of cardiovascular disease: A population-based matched cohort study with sibling analysis

  Deng Y; Clements M; Shen C; Ludvigsson JF; Shen Q; Lei J
• Conference publication: 2026;:a199.1-a1a199

  RF18 Addressing measurement error in socio-economic position at individual and family level using latent-variable models: implications for sibling comparison designs

  Rai B; Clements M; Kuja-Halkola R
• Doctoral thesis: 2026

  Health outcomes and social determinants in people living with HIV in Sweden : insights from the COVID-19 era and beyond

  Killander Möller I
• Journal article: OPEN FORUM INFECTIOUS DISEASES. 2026;13(8):ofag490

  Cardiovascular Disease Risk with Integrase Inhibitor-based Antiretroviral Therapy: A Causal Inference Analysis in RESPOND

  Surial B; Neesgaard B; Chammartin F; Ryom L; Petoumenos K; Reekie J; Paredes R; Zangerle R; Smith C; Martin C; Wit F; Jaschinski N; Mussini C; Monforte AD; Castagna A; Carlander C; Hetman L; Sohani E; Lehmann C; Hosein SR; Van Wyk JA; Bissio E; Lundgren J; Rauch A; Gunthard HF; Wandeler G; Greenberg L
• Journal article: JOURNAL OF THE NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE. MONOGRAPHS. 2026;2026(73):148-154

  Evidence for type replacement as a consequence of vaccination and implications for cervical screening.

  Gray P; Louvanto K
• Article: GERONTOLOGY. 2026;:1-16

  Post-COVID-19 Condition Diagnosis among Older People: Findings from Swedish National Register Data

  Zhang Z; Hoang MT; Wastesson JW; Johnell K
• Article: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER. 2026;159(2):467-477

  Nationwide audit of cervical cancer screening reveals unsatisfactory triage strategies and trends over time in incidence among cytology negative women

  Milerad H
• Article: PLOS ONE. 2026;21(7):e0343751

  Joint modelling of PSA dynamics and prostate cancer risks: A population-based study in men without prior prostate cancer

  Akynkozhayev B; Christoffersen B; Lantz A; Nordstrom T; Humphreys K; Clements M
• Article: CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES. 2026;82(6):e1252-e1261

  Renal and Cardiovascular Complications Following Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in People With and Without HIV: Data From the Cohort Study on Morbidity and HIV in Sweden (COSMOHS) Between 2010 and 2024

  Killander Moller I; Wagner P; Brannstrom J; Backdahl T; Elvstam O; Gisslen M; Hedberg P; Mellgren A; Mansson F; Naucler P; Nilsson J; Nowak P; Sparen P; Eliasson B; Carlander C
• Review: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GYNECOLOGICAL CANCER. 2026;36(7):104751

  Design principles and core components of cervical screening registries in the human papillomavirus era: a narrative review and global framework

  Kleppe SN; Almstedt P; Dillner J; Muhr LSA
• Letter: CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES. 2026;:ciag340

  Renal Risk and Creatinine Elevation in People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Broadening the Perspective

  Killander Moller I; Brannstrom J; Elvstam O; Gisslen M; Mellgren A; Mansson F; Naucler P; Nowak P; Eliasson B; Carlander C
• Article: OPEN FORUM INFECTIOUS DISEASES. 2026;13(6):ofag290

  Incidence of Recurrent Respiratory Papillomatosis (RRP) in Denmark and Sweden During 2000-2023: Two Nationwide Cohort Studies in Children and Young Adults

  Sundstrom K; Munk C; Wang J; Frederiksen K; Kleppe SN; Mahale P; Tota JE; Kjaer SK
• Article: JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SCREENING. 2026;33(2):84-93

  Quality indicators for cervical screening in Sweden

  Andersson H; Nordqvist Kleppe S; Edvardsson H; Elfstrom KM; Dillner J
• Article: HIV MEDICINE. 2026;27(6):945-958

  Late diagnosis of HIV persists in Sweden: Differing social determinants among migrant and non-migrant people with HIV

  Falk S; Nilsson J; Moller IK; Elvstam O; Wagner P; Mellgren A; Mansson F; Carlander C; Brannstrom J
• Article: JAMA NETWORK OPEN. 2026;9(6):e2620512

  Human Papillomavirus-Related Cancer in People With HIV and Solid Organ Transplant Recipients

  Meglic E; Ploner A; Deng Y; Brannstrom J; Elvstam O; Mansson F; Mellgren A; Lei J; Carlander C
• Show more

Staff and contact

Group leader

• 

  Mark Clements

  Senior Lecturer | Docent

  Telephone +46852482023

  E-mail mark.clements@ki.se

All members of the group

• Irma Ahmad

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail irma.ahmad@ki.se
• Birzhan Akynkozhayev

  Phd Student

  E-mail birzhan.akynkozhayev@ki.se
• 

  Bengt Andrae

  Other

  E-mail bengt.andrae@ki.se
• Nicholas Baltzer

  Research Specialist

  E-mail nicholas.baltzer@ki.se
• Yann Becker

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail yann.becker@ki.se
• 

  Christina Carlander

  Adjunct Lecturer

  E-mail christina.carlander@ki.se
• Yusha Chen

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail yusha.chen@ki.se
• 

  Yunyang Deng

  Postdoctoral Researcher

  E-mail yunyang.deng@ki.se
• 

  Xiaoyang Du

  Phd Student

  E-mail xiaoyang.du@ki.se
• Olof Elvstam

  Other

  E-mail olof.elvstam@ki.se
• Sixten Elén

  Other

  E-mail sixten.elen@ki.se
• Ida Enskär

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail ida.enskar@ki.se
• 

  Katharina Eschelbach

  Phd Student

  E-mail katharina.eschelbach@ki.se
• Luwam Gebrekristos

  Postdoctoral Researcher

  E-mail luwam.gebrekristos@ki.se
• 

  Penelope Gray

  Postdoctoral Researcher

  E-mail penelope.gray@ki.se

  I am an epidemiologist who specialises in vaccine epidemiology, infectious disease epidemiology and the prevention of human papilomavirus (HPV) and HPV associated diseases.&#160

• Olof Grönlund

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail olof.gronlund@ki.se
• Gustav Hallberg

  Phd Student

  E-mail gustav.hallberg@ki.se
• Farzaneh Hamzei

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail farzaneh.hamzei.2@ki.se
• 

  Shuang Hao

  Health Economist

  E-mail shuang.hao@ki.se
• Abyan Irzaldy

  Phd Student

  E-mail abyan.irzaldy.2@ki.se
• Aaron Jehle

  Research Assistant

  E-mail aaron.jehle@ki.se
• 

  Isabela Killander Möller

  Phd Student

  E-mail isabela.killander.moller@ki.se
• 

  Sara Nordqvist Kleppe

  Database Coordinator

  Telephone +46852483615

  E-mail sara.nordqvist.kleppe@ki.se
• 

  Jiayao Lei

  Assistant Professor

  E-mail jiayao.lei@ki.se
• Hannes Lindahl

  Affiliated to Teaching/Tutoring

  E-mail hannes.lindahl@ki.se
• Stina Malmström

  Phd Student

  E-mail stina.malmstrom@ki.se
• 

  Eva Meglic

  Phd Student

  Telephone +46852482279

  E-mail eva.meglic@ki.se
• 

  Hanna Milerad

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail hanna.milerad@ki.se
• 

  Alessandra Nanni

  Education Officer

  Telephone +46852483869

  E-mail alessandra.nanni@ki.se
• 

  Balram Rai

  Phd Student

  E-mail balram.rai@ki.se
• 

  Julia Reissinger

  Phd Student

  E-mail julia.reissinger@ki.se
• 

  Daniela Skalt

  Phd Student

  E-mail daniela.skalt@ki.se
• 

  Qingyun Yao

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail qingyun.yao@ki.se
• Zhongsong Zhang

  Phd Student

  Telephone +46852482271

  E-mail zhongsong.zhang@ki.se
• Guoqiao Zheng

  Affiliated to Research

  E-mail guoqiao.zheng@ki.se

Visiting address

Karolinska Institutet, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Nobels väg 12A, Stockholm, 17177, Sverige

Postal address

Karolinska Institutet, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, PO Box 281, Stockholm, 17177, Sverige